Tech and consumer are carrying the tape to new highs, but crude at $100+ and the 10Y at 4.605% are flashing caution signals I'm not ignoring. Here's what I'm watching into the open.
SPX futures are pricing in a strong open at $7,432.97 (+1.08%) and the Fear & Greed Index is sitting at 61 (Greed) — not extreme yet, but trending in a direction that makes me tighten up. Tech (+2.25%) and Consumer (+2.53%) are doing the heavy lifting while Energy is getting smoked (-2.43%) even as crude rips to $100.77. That divergence is a red flag I'm watching closely.
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Crypto Fear & Greed at 29 (Fear) while BTC dips to $77,214 — I'm not adding here, but I'm not selling either. My BTC position stays put with a mental stop on a daily close below $74,000. Gold I'm holding through any dip to $4,460 with no adds until it reclaims $4,540. For day trades today, RRGB is my primary focus — I'll size at 75% normal risk given the low float and strong RVOL. I'm not chasing SPX longs at these levels. If the index opens strong and fades below $7,400 in the first 30 minutes, I'm cutting any intraday longs immediately and waiting for the dust to settle.